Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 275.497695 312.148165 353.215990 402.902936 461.734919 529.599932 614.425881
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 229.642424 279.474071 340.696088 422.550397 530.830236 671.645611 872.852119
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 197.620151 251.563505 321.856584 422.264027 565.585086 768.643754 1089.390588
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 171.121617 225.134204 298.660855 409.099042 576.373628 830.262438 1266.273504
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 151.598033 204.893614 280.105593 397.945798 585.753428 888.606035 1449.731880
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 142.310741 197.538379 278.330985 410.458886 632.439478 1014.153386 1782.691688
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 132.241422 187.682878 271.274366 413.070327 662.465091 1116.542630 2103.248758
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 121.554375 175.681400 259.348176 405.674996 673.252089 1185.169226 2375.835664
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 114.178585 168.006417 253.290715 407.092787 699.717304 1289.106537 2763.188415
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 105.754257 157.871028 242.110161 397.887177 704.177849 1348.473815 3064.535391
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 99.489063 150.671776 235.075490 395.175766 720.770275 1437.421023 3479.153982
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 91.332398 139.715486 220.630808 376.897490 702.452680 1442.957094 3660.725691
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 89.073223 138.584220 223.376839 392.236917 759.011740 1642.930087 4540.402688
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 87.489365 138.472039 227.924731 411.796822 829.027426 1898.840407 5776.175325
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 83.321735 133.498573 223.080523 411.497800 853.021669 2039.071999 6686.703909
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 77.956178 126.012997 212.900739 398.753714 844.768658 2085.560046 7249.764064
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 73.304992 119.510330 204.077191 387.953625 839.668833 2140.842073 7899.119456
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 71.705074 118.446501 205.623140 400.070298 895.673108 2405.116040 9797.730833
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 69.148023 115.427118 203.058116 402.598614 926.781256 2599.453828 11543.949135
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 65.773696 110.658661 196.620391 395.438333 929.900191 2698.103127 12840.735421
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 63.507059 107.849072 193.932750 396.811145 957.693224 2897.939795 15067.038082
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 60.413221 103.270627 187.271893 387.896855 953.776145 2975.660373 16531.499581
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 58.113103 100.104245 183.336171 385.270923 968.580529 3135.583432 18916.663484